Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.601107 0.666478 0.737159 0.819449 0.912862 1.015875 1.138447
2025-08-31 0.492106 0.580860 0.684240 0.814355 0.974868 1.167846 1.419603
2025-09-07 0.433478 0.533307 0.655524 0.817757 1.029850 1.301045 1.679489
2025-09-14 0.385105 0.489225 0.621740 0.805206 1.056505 1.394419 1.893174
2025-09-21 0.349043 0.455540 0.595610 0.796666 1.083442 1.486545 2.112175
2025-09-28 0.312077 0.416386 0.557336 0.765815 1.073469 1.522535 2.250377
2025-10-05 0.296260 0.404207 0.554133 0.782821 1.132411 1.663260 2.564227
2025-10-12 0.281422 0.391782 0.548926 0.795474 1.184858 1.798399 2.886215
2025-10-19 0.266487 0.377778 0.539856 0.800756 1.225346 1.917730 3.196867
2025-10-26 0.253016 0.364745 0.530895 0.804849 1.263467 2.036208 3.521551
2025-11-02 0.241957 0.354414 0.525020 0.812898 1.308236 2.170028 3.892994
2025-11-09 0.225982 0.335360 0.504031 0.794125 1.304791 2.217442 4.103947
2025-11-16 0.217208 0.327206 0.500064 0.804007 1.353505 2.367146 4.547317
2025-11-23 0.206081 0.314580 0.487956 0.798887 1.374639 2.467632 4.905693
2025-11-30 0.197594 0.305619 0.481142 0.802217 1.411316 2.601930 5.359352
2025-12-07 0.186996 0.292498 0.466387 0.789947 1.416781 2.673796 5.683209
2025-12-14 0.177955 0.281425 0.454364 0.781599 1.428849 2.760292 6.056119
2025-12-21 0.166000 0.264749 0.431592 0.751436 1.394409 2.743827 6.173854
2025-12-28 0.162423 0.262219 0.433482 0.768064 1.456765 2.945325 6.880760
2026-01-04 0.158395 0.258648 0.433230 0.780434 1.511356 3.136341 7.599289
2026-01-11 0.153561 0.253368 0.429511 0.785598 1.550929 3.297629 8.269919
2026-01-18 0.148866 0.248070 0.425405 0.789599 1.588250 3.458287 8.973390
2026-01-25 0.144967 0.243991 0.423300 0.797467 1.634945 3.648056 9.806792